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How Important Is the Michigan-Notre Dame Opener for Both Teams' Season Outlooks?

I often say dumb things, but this week’s first question reminded me of one of the dumbest things I’ve said in the past few years. It also provided an excellent reminder…

From Kevin: Will both Michigan and Notre Dame's seasons be defined by their opening weekend meeting?

I’m writing this now to answer Kevin’s question but also to reinforce a concept that I tend to ignore when caught up in the euphoria of college football’s return: Week one results often don’t tell us anything about either team. Our preseason projection of one or both teams is usually wrong, and it’s always better to have more data as a basis for comparison.