Over the past couple weeks we have focused on advanced stats in football namely backed up, third downs, and red zone. One advanced stat we haven’t covered in our series of articles has been down and distance. To quote from the original stat’s corner on Bill Walsh’s advanced stat for down and distance I wrote
““Success rate is a key metric for almost everything I do. I define every play as a success based on down and distance — if you get 50 percent of necessary yardage on first down, 70 percent on second down, or 100 percent on third or fourth down, it’s a successful play” That seems simple, 5 yards on first down, 2-3 yards on second, and remaining on third.