The win probabilities for UFC 246’s four qualifying matchups are in. Here are the estimated odds for each bout where both fighters have at least four fully-documented prior fights and aren’t heavyweights. For statistical overload on the distance, clinch, and ground alternative stats behind the McGregor-Cerrone main event matchup, see Tuesday’s piece.
Conor McGregor (66.2%) over Donald Cerrone
Raquel Pennington (57.8%) over Holly Holm
Diego Ferreira (74.7%) over Anthony Pettis
Drew Dober (51.0%) over Nasrat Haqparast
Current Bankroll: $9,078.30
No-Human-Error Bankroll: $9,475.67
The computer leans to two upsets tonight but only has one bet as of this writing (10:00am PT) with $204.