Bloody Elbow · Jun 8, 2019
UFC 238: Henry Cejudo vs. Marlon Moraes win probabilities and possible bets
The win probabilities for UFC 238’s nine qualifying matchups are in. Here are the estimated odds for each bout where both fighters have at least four fully-documented prior fights and aren’t heavyweights. For statistical overload on the distance, clinch, and ground alternative stats behind Cejudo-Moraes, Shevchenko-Eye, Ferguson-Cerrone, and Suarez-Ansaroff, see Tuesday’s piece.
Henry Cejudo (58.7%) over Marlon Moraes
Valentina Shevchenko (81.9%) over Jessica Eye
Tony Ferguson (57.0%) over Donald Cerrone
Petr Yan (54.2%) over Jimmie Rivera
Tatiana Suarez (57.3%) over Nina Ansaroff
Aljamain Sterling (56.1%) over Pedro Munhoz
Alexa Grasso (64.7%) over Karolina Kowalkiewicz