The win probabilities for UFC 229’s seven qualifying matchups are in. Here are the estimated odds for each bout where both fighters have at least four fully-documented prior fights and aren’t heavyweights. For statistical overload on the distance, clinch, and ground alternative stats behind Khabib-McGregor, Ferguson-Pettis, and Waterson-Herrig, see Tuesday’s piece.
Khabib Nurmagomedov (70.5%) over Conor Mcgregor (29.5%)
Tony Ferguson (65.7%) over Anthony Pettis (34.3%)
Michelle Waterson (53.7%) over Felice Herrig (46.3%)
Sergio Pettis (54.3%) over Jussier Da Silva (45.7%)
Alan Patrick (69.