The upcoming flyweight contest between Matt Schnell and TUF 33 winner Joseph Morales, scheduled for November 8, 2025, at the UFC Apex, has drawn significant attention among bettors and analysts. The betting markets and data assessments collectively favor Joseph Morales to win, most likely by submission.
UFC Vegas 111 Betting Preview: Matt Schnell vs. Joseph Morales
Current odds across major sportsbooks favor Joseph Morales. At the time of writing, Morales is listed as a -325 favorite, while Schnell sits as a +260 underdog. These odds translate to an approximate win probability of 73% for Morales and 27% for Schnell.