Should they go for it here?
It’s a question asked every week during the college football season. Sometimes multiple times during an individual games. Heck, it’s been asked so many times that there are Twitter bots exclusively created to give fans up-to-the-minute win probability in a specific fourth down situation if their favorite team goes for it vs. if they punt or kick a field goal.
In general, teams are getting more aggressive on fourth down. The nerds, as they say, are winning. Don’t take it from me. Take it from Pat Forde of Sports Illustrated:
In 2017, the average team went for it on fourth down 1.