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South Carolina’s defense is just good enough to make the Ole Miss game ugly

Coming into this season, the S&P+ analytics system favored Ole Miss against Texas Tech, Southern-Illinois, Kent State, Louisiana-Monroe and Arkansas—all opponents the Rebels ended up beating. For all of this team’s struggles against upper level SEC competition, Matt Luke’s group has won the games its supposed to.

That could change this weekend against a 4-3 South Carolina team. S&P+ gives the Rebels a 60 percent chance to win at home, while Vegas offered an opening line favoring Ole Miss by 2.5 points. Ole Miss averages nearly offensive 50 points per game against defenses outside the top 10 in S&P+ and South Carolina ranks 54th.