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Ole Miss opens as 18.5-point favorites over Louisiana-Lafayette, which feels high

Ole Miss gets a cupcake in Week 10, but with the defense the Rebs are currently fielding, no game is a cupcake. On Saturday, they meet with the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns, a feisty bunch that rank fairly high in the S&P+ on the offensive side of the ball, but near the basement on defense. Hi, Ole Miss.

Bill C.’s numbers project an Ole Miss victory in the neighborhood of an 10-point advantage, while OddsShark likes the Rebs by an 18.5-point margin as of this writing. Why the discrepancy? Bill C.’s stats severely downplay garbage time points, and ULL ranks No.