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NFL Football Power Index: 2025 projections, Super Bowl chances

The Philadelphia Eagles are the favorites to win Super Bowl LX -- but just barely, with a cluster of teams close to the reigning champs in terms of ability and chance to hoist the Lombardi Trophy. That's according to ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) -- our football ratings and projection model -- which launched Wednesday for the 2025 season.

The Eagles have a 12% chance to win the Super Bowl according to the model, the lowest chance the preseason favorite has had to win it all since the model began outputting preseason projections in 2015.