Five electric games from Aidan Hutchinson before his season-ending leg injury weren't enough to earn him accolades in 2024. But those performances affect what we think of him going forward, and it's a big reason why Hutchinson tops the 2025 edition of our annual NFL sack projections.
This is the fifth year we've run our sack forecast for veteran pass rushers. The statistical model is based on a player's past performance and his situation entering the season. The model's inputs include:
Sack totals and rates over the past two seasons
Projected snaps, courtesy of ESPN's Mike Clay
Pass rush win rate (PRWR), which uses player tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Past sack rates for opposing quarterbacks on each pass rusher's 2025 schedule
Team win totals from the betting market
How often a player lines up at edge vs.