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Occam’s Razor and the NBA Draft Lottery

Related Topics: Occam's razor

After years of rumors and debates, the NBA finally re-tooled the draft lottery process.

As you probably know, the goal is to curb the tanking trend, which teams have started to embrace rather brazenly. Unfortunately, the new format isn’t that different from the old format. Instead of a team’s odds at landing the first pick increasing with every loss, now the bottom three teams will have the same odds at getting #1. Other odds were adjusted throughout the lottery, but this was the main tweak.

Not only will this new system fail to decrease tanking, I believe it will have the opposite effect.