The Minnesota Timberwolves have won a combined 105 games over the last two seasons, culminating in two Western Conference finals appearances. Last season, they won seven fewer games in 2023-24 but still finished with 49. On Tuesday, ESPN’s Kevin Pelton revealed his stats-based win projections for the 2025-26 season. The Timberwolves’ have a win projection of 43.7, which would be a steep decline when compared to the last two years.
Projections seem to completely undervalue the Timberwolves
Pelton described how he came up with his win-based projections for all 30 teams.
"To project teams, I start with player ratings based on a combination of my SCHOENE stats-based projections and luck-adjusted regularized adjusted plus-minus (RAPM) provided by Krishna Narsu that covers the past three seasons.