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Against Lawler’s Law

Lawler’s Law states that the first team to 100 points wins. It’s catchy, simple, and often correct.

I also hate it.

Full disclosure: This was not supposed to be a hit piece on Lawler’s Law. I fully intended to use the law as an entry point into a broader discussion on how to predict wins, with a hopeful eye towards predicting Bucks’ wins in the playoffs. But I was sucked down Lawler’s rabbit hole, and long story short, the entry became the entree.

I’ll provide a brief recap of Lawler’s Law for the uninitiated before diving into my critique.