The 2024 PECOTA projections have been released, and Milwaukee fans likely won’t be too happy with what Baseball Prospectus foresees coming this season.
For the first time since 2020, PECOTA sees Milwaukee finishing under .500 and outside of the top two spots in the NL Central. The Brewers, of course, still made the postseason in the COVID-shortened season of 2020, going 29-31 and locking up the final spot in the NL.
The last time Milwaukee finished below .500 in a full season was 2016 (73-89), which was also the last time the Brewers finished outside the top two in the division in a full season (fourth place).