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NL Playoff Picture Update: Brewers could face elimination

The Brewers’ path to playoffs at the start of the week was pretty clear — beat the teams ahead of you, and you’ll get in.

Unfortunately, they’ve largely failed to do that, dropping 2 of 3 to the Cincinnati Reds and losing the first game of their pivotal 5-game set in St. Louis on Thursday night.

That’s making their playoff odds extremely murky — Fangraphs’ numbers have them making the expanded postseason tournament just 33.9% of the time, a drastic drop from the 51% odds they had before losing the first game in St.