The MLB Draft is a lottery no matter what round you’re selecting a prospect. Even with scouting better than it’s ever been, selecting a college baseball player is a projection three or four years into the future. A high school player can be as many as seven or eight years.
Once you’re into the later rounds, it’s a grab-bag. You’re looking for outstanding skills, something a player can build off to make himself viable. The Miami Marlins one of those skills in Doug Domnarski when they took him in the 27th round.
Domnarski has a long way to go, but his first year of professional baseball was everything you could have reasonably asked for out of the UConn lefty.