Generally speaking, the 2022 Marlins season is playing out exactly as I envisioned. A franchise that endured 95-plus losses in each of the previous three full-length campaigns has taken a step forward, though a sizable gap still exists between the Fish and legitimate contenders. With 81 games down and 81 games to go, Miami has a 7.1% chance of making the postseason according to FanGraphs and a 10.9% chance according to Baseball Prospectus.
However, when following a team at a granular level, there are always surprises. That’s what holds our attention regardless of the overall quality of play.