Every sport right now is going through some sort of statistical revolution. They all have their nuances to them, but at its core the main theme has been that players should go for an all-or-nothing approach. In baseball, batters are learning that home runs are more valuable than the strikeout is detrimental. Two point jumpers are fading away from basketball in lieu of more threes because people realized 3 is a bigger number than 2. We’re finding out that the risk of going for these higher reward events really aren’t as great as initially thought.
Following that line of thinking, we might be underrating the value of a forced turnover.