Well, we can say this for certain about Game 4 of the 2020 NBA Finals: The Miami Heat had a chance to win.
Not in the “oh, they missed a shot at the buzzer and the Lakers won” kind of way, but in the “this was a competitive game and it went against Miami” kind of way. The first half featured seven lead changes and only once did the lead for either side eclipse five points.
In the second half, the Lakers started with a two point lead, and Miami fairly quickly took an advantage of their own early.