Manchester United's hopes of reaching the Champions League knockout rounds are dangling by a thread after another defensive horror show.
They threw away 2-0 and 3-1 leads to draw 3-3 with Galatasaray on Wednesday night and their last-16 destiny is now out of their hands.
United will need to beat Bayern Munich at Old Trafford on matchday six on December 12 and hope the other game between Copenhagen and Galatasaray ends all-square.
That's reflected in Opta's latest calculations, which show a minuscule six per cent chance of United making it through.