Barring something unexpected, Ousmane Dembélé is going to win the Ballon d'Or.
The Paris Saint-Germain forward scored 21 goals and added six assists in Ligue 1, and PSG won the league by 19 points. He scored eight goals and added six assists in the Champions League, and PSG won the Champions League final by five goals.
On top of all that, PSG's transformation into the best team in the world almost directly coincided with Dembélé moving to center forward and playing off the charts in 2025. So, not only does Dembélé have the statistics and the trophies that voters typically look for, but he also has the narrative.