This part of the offseason is when projections start coming out, and we’ve already seen a couple projections that haven’t painted the Dodgers in the most positive light. A simulation based on Steamer projections had L.A. at 89.7 wins in 2023, for example, which would be a drop of more than 21 games.
Dan Szymborski, the creator of the ZiPS projection system, is more bullish on Los Angeles, ending his article about them by saying he expects a tight race between L.A. and the Padres, but “with a bit of luck, they could easily win 105 games and lap the NL West.