With the 2020 offseason in full swing, it’s time to start taking a look ahead at what we think will happen next fall. One way to do that is to look back at what actually happened during the 2019 season versus what actually happened. There are a bunch of ways to do so (for example, Pythagorean expectation). In this article, we'll use two ways. One is to examine a team’s win-loss record (including playoffs) when each game decided by eight or fewer points is considered half of a win. This identified Dallas as a team that would regress in 2019.