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What chance does Kentucky have to beat Florida? How about 12.9 percent.

What kind of chance does Kentucky have to upset No. 25 Florida in Gainesville on Saturday? If you believe one set of statistical formulas, 12.9 percent, to be exact.

Tucked under one of the tabs on ESPN.com’s college football page is the Football Power Index, a ranking system that attempts to gauge each team’s chances to win every game on its schedule.

According to FPI, Kentucky would beat an “average” opponent by 1.1 points per game — not bad, but ranking the Cats 62nd out of 130 teams measured.

The Gators come in with an FPI of 13.