Back in the preseason, I walked myself from 4-8 to 5-7 and eventually landed on a 6-6 prediction, not because I thought Kentucky would be significantly better than a year ago, but because the math forced me there. In trying to map out a five-win year, I ran into the same immovable truth that I wrote about then:
A 5-6 Kentucky team is not losing to Louisville with a bowl game on the line.
That was the entire point of my preseason prediction, and here we are, standing exactly in that spot. The same exact scenario.