Big 12 Football Week 7 Picks

Last Week: 1-3

Overall: 23-20-1

Baylor (-3.5) @ West Virginia Thurs. 6:00 FS1 Baylor 28-24

Each week I try to avoid looking at the lines before doing my picks. For this game, my guess was Baylor -7.5. The line at Draft Kings when I looked on Thursday morning said -3.5. I know Baylor has been underwhelming this season and is on the road this week, so I questioned my initial pick. I look at the SP+ rating of the teams. Baylor and West Virginia are essentially tied on the offensive side (Baylor 34 to W. Virginia 38), but on defense Baylor is way ahead, 14 compared to 56. The game will probably be closer than the 7.5-point spread I guessed because Baylor has to go on the road to Morgantown on a…