18.9%
Win AFC: 38.2%
AFC NO. 1 SEED | 14-3
Odds to win Super Bowl: +340
Odds to win conference: +160
Previously known as more of a big-game hunter with the electric Tyreek Hill at his disposal, Patrick Mahomes has diced up defenses with the short game this season. In fact, on passes that travel fewer than 10 air yards, Mahomes leads the NFL with a 115.
Arrowheadlines: Model gives the Chiefs a 19% chance of winning the Super Bowl
