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Andy Reid's risk aversion could cost him the Super Bowl

Andy Reid and the Kansas City Chiefs are bringing into the Super Bowl one of the greatest offenses to ever line up on an NFL field. In fact, the Chiefs’ passing attack with Patrick Mahomes has had the greatest two-year stretch of efficiency in the PFF era (2007-2019). In this playoffs, the Chiefs’ offense hasn’t looked to slow down, and Mahomes is laying a strong claim to the greatest quarterback postseason we’ve seen. The San Francisco 49ers, and their No. 1 defense according to our Massey rankings, may be the best equipped in the NFL to stop the Chiefs’ offense, though our understanding of the more predictive nature of offenses and defenses don’t point to that outcome.