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ESPN gives Jaguars just 26.8 percent chance to make playoffs, lowest in AFC South

The Jacksonville Jaguars are going to be better this season. They’ve upgraded at quarterback and in the run game. The only real question is how much they’ll upgrade.

ESPN has projected win totals and playoff chances for all 32 teams with their Football Power Index. Here’s how the Football Power Index works:

Rather than compiling rankings from our throng of reporters and experts, we’re using this edition to unveil the first set of ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) ratings. Each team’s rating is composed of a predicted offensive, defensive and special teams efficiency, as measured by expected points added per play, and that rating is the basis for FPI’s game-level and season-level projections.