According to Pro Football Focus (subscription), the Indianapolis Colts have a best and worse case scenario ahead of the 2020 regular season.
If everything goes according to plan—particularly with new veteran starter Philip Rivers and the offense, the Colts have a 90th percentile outcome of finishing 11-5. However, if Rivers is indeed ‘cooked’ and their young secondary struggles, there is a 10th percentile outcome that the Colts could finish 5-11:
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
10th percentile outcome: 5-11
How they get there: Philip Rivers is no longer an above-average or even average NFL quarterback.