Fantasy Football: 8 Safe Picks Based on numberFire's Projections

Upside is certainly a big part of fantasy football, but which players provide the safest floor heading into the 2018 season?

If you look at numberFire’s projections, you’ll notice that there’s a column titled CI. This is the confidence interval of the projection. What this means is the fantasy points projection is the mean of a range of outcomes, and the confidence interval is calculated by adding and subtracting one standard deviation to and from that projection. If a player has a wide range of outcomes that will be reflected in a larger standard deviation. Projections that we are more confident in are reflected in a smaller range of outcomes.

In this two-part series, I’ll highlight some of…