According to ESPN Analytics’ Seth Walder, the Indianapolis Colts are projected to have more than a coin flip’s chance to make the NFL Playoffs with a 58% chance—and are also this upcoming season’s frontrunner to win the AFC South (at 40%) per ESPN’s ‘Football Power Index’ (FPI) prediction model—coming in at #14 overall:
14. Indianapolis Colts
Projected wins: 8.6
Chance to reach playoffs: 58%
Certainly contributing to the Colts playing meaningful football long into next winter is that the franchise is fortunate enough to have one of the NFL’s easiest schedules for 2020:
Though FPI is heavily reliant on preseason win totals, it teases out team ratings and therefore can calculate schedule strength without really running into any of those problems.