My plan for the rest of the offseason is to write individual articles predicting 2025 performance for as many QBs as possible before the season starts. I’ll start with Colts’ opponents and then—time permitting—I’ll add as many known starters as I can. To kick off the series, I’ll first revisit the predictions I made at the beginning of last season, which were based on a numerical analysis of pre-2024 data.
Prediction 1: C.J. Stroud will have a big drop off from his rookie year production.
Specifically, I said his 2024 net yards per dropback (NY/d), which ranked third-best in 2023, would fall out of the top 10, and that his EPA per dropback (EPA/d) would drop below 12th.