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Bracketology: NCAA tournament projection as of March 8, 2022

Championship Week is underway with five teams already earning automatic bids, including Georgia State and Chattanooga, who punched its ticket in dramatic fashion on Monday night. Tuesday brings six more conference championship games as the Atlantic Sun, Colonial, Horizon, Northeast, Summit, and West Coast take center stage.

Starting today, I will be making daily updates to the projections before submitting my final set on Sunday afternoon. I’ll also be taking the opportunity to scrub different sections of the seed list where teams are closely clustered together.

Before looking at the one seeds, here’s a quick reminder about how the NCAA selection committee classifies wins based on the NET rating.