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Bracketology: NCAA tournament projection as of February 19, 2019

With just under four weeks remaining until Selection Sunday, this week’s projections presented a couple scenarios that may occur during Championship Week. Different bracketologists will use different methods to select the recipients of the automatic bids from smaller conferences, but I try to factor in head-to-head matchups when breaking ties, particularly at this stage of the season.

This week, there were two conferences where that comparison ended up creating “bid thieves.” In the MAC for instance, Buffalo is the only team currently worthy of an at-large bid, but they are tied atop the standings with Bowling Green, who won the only head-to-head matchup between the two teams so far.