We're almost a year from the 2024 NFL draft, and 285 games lie ahead that will determine the draft order. Anything can happen. We won't know what the top 10 will look like until the end of Week 18 this season, and even then, things can change with pre-draft trades up or down the board.
But we are still projecting how the draft order might play out in those first 10 picks using our newly released ESPN Football Power Index for the 2023 season, which gives each team's expected draft slot. The model's predictive ratings are based on win totals from Caesars Sportsbook, strength of schedule, past team performance and returning starters, and they are used to simulate the season thousands of times.