Looking At Astros’ Playoff Percentages

Astros shortstop Jeremy Pena tags out Rangers base runner Marcus Semien on July 24.As the Astros move forward in a playoff race over the next 49 days, the FanGraphs playoff odds become increasingly interesting. As shown below, the Astros are neck-and-neck with the Rangers in the odds of winning the division, but the odds of winning a playoff spot (whether division champion or wild card) are quite good. The playoff odds change daily.

Fangraphs Playoff Odds

(Win division / playoff odds / projected wins / ROS strength of schedule)

Astros Division 46.3% / Playoffs 86.1% / 91.6 Wins / SOS .500

Rangers Division 48.7% / Playoffs 90.0% / 92.1 Wins / SOS .510

Mariners Division 4.9% / Playoffs 26.9% /…