With each new NFL season, there will always be a team that was either a playoff team or downright contender who will regress so hard they’re picking at the top of the draft.
APC Contributor Justis Mosqueda has spent years telling people to watch for records in one score games. If a team has a high percentage of wins in games decided by a touchdown or less, they should be expected to do much more poorly the following season. For example, Jason Garrett won coach of the year in 2016 with a 13-3 Dallas Cowboys team.