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Regression to the mean and the 2024 Green Bay Packers, Part 1

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Luck is a huge factor in the NFL, and for the Green Bay Packers, there’s good news and bad news on that front. In the aggregate, that’s good news for a team that went to the NFC Championship game last year. There are definitely a few “regressions statistics” that are likely to bite Green Bay in 2024. However, I think it’s important to start with the big picture, and the big picture is quite rosy.

So before we dive into two of the biggest regression factors and how they will or will not impact the Packers, let’s take a moment to define what we’re talking about in the first place.