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Packers’ numbers on 1st-and-10 show Matt LaFleur’s over-reliance on the run

Matt LaFleur loves to run the football.

This is not news, nor should it be a controversial statement. LaFleur has always relied heavily on the run game as head coach and playcaller for the Green Bay Packers, but now that Jordan Love is his quarterback, he has been freed up to fully remake the offense according to his own vision. And that vision is running the ball...a lot.

There are plenty of methods that are available to illustrate this. One such metric is PROE, or Pass Rate Over Expected. That calculation accounts for the difference between how often a team passes the football compared to the average or expected pass rate for an average NFL team, accounting for down, distance, field position, score, and remaining game time.