Unlike the NFL MVP, Offensive Rookie of the Year has yet not become a glorified "best quarterback" award. It's not always easy for first-year QBs to step in and have immediate success, so running backs and wide receivers at least have a chance. It's no surprise that WRs like Drake London, George Pickens, and Chris Olave were among the preseason favorites with QB Kenny Pickett and RB Breece Hall for 2022 O-ROY, but the odds have shifted noticeably early in the season.
Over the past decade, we've seen four quarterbacks win the league's Offensive Rookie of the Year award (Robert Griffin III, Dak Prescott, Kyler Murray, and Justin Herbert).