At 5-8 with four games to play, the Green Bay Packers are a big longshot to make the postseason. FiveThirtyEight has the Packers’ chances at 4 percent. Make no mistake about it: Matt LaFleur’s team needs a lot to go right over the final month of the season to simply avoid elimination before Week 18, much less make the playoffs.

But there are some paths to the postseason for the Packers, including one potentially reasonable scenario, given you believe Green Bay can win out over the final four games while also getting a bunch of help from good teams.