ESPN’s Football Power Index gives the Green Bay Packers a 10.1 percent chance to reach Super Bowl LX, a number that reflects both respect for the roster and skepticism about recent form. That probability places Green Bay in the middle tier of the 14-team field, behind the top seeds but ahead of clear long shots as the playoffs begin.
The FPI figure balances Green Bay’s offensive efficiency. The team ranks highly in EPA per dropback and benefits from an improving passing attack against mounting defensive and situational concerns. The loss of a key edge rusher and a lateu2011season slide have exposed vulnerabilities, particularly on early downs and in the run game, that could be exploited in single-elimination matchups away from Lambeau Field.