The Houston Texans have the best chance to land the top pick in the 2023 NFL draft, according to the updated projections from the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI). The 1-10-1 Texans have an 89.7% chance to get the top selection after losing their seventh straight game. They're followed in our draft order projections by the Detroit Lions, who have a 4% chance to land the No. 1 overall pick. The Lions received that additional first-round pick in a 2021 trade with the Los Angeles Rams.
There already have been six trades involving first-round picks for April's draft, with the Texans, Lions, Seattle Seahawks and Philadelphia Eagles in line to have two selections in Round 1.