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Betting the Patriots to win fewer than 12 games? Yeah, good luck with that

2018 win total (via Bovada): 11

2017 ATS record: 11-5

Optimist view: It’s easy to read tabloid-style headlines about the Patriots’ dysfunction and start to think that the end is quickly approaching. But it’s harder to realize that the Patriots are just a model-busting operation in almost every way. They have a quarterback and head coach who might not be summering on Nantucket together, but their production and value on the field remains unassailable until something changes dramatically.

You can tout your drama concerns all you want — last we looked, Tom Brady was torching a top-five defense in the Super Bowl and the Patriots arguably enter 2018 with a stronger supporting cast on both sides of the ball.