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P.G.A. Championship’s Random Past Proves Anyone Can Win

When the P.G.A. Championship finishes on Sunday at Bellerive in Missouri, there’s a pretty good chance that the man lifting the trophy will be someone you don’t know all that well.

Over the years, the P.G.A. has earned a reputation as the most random of majors, dating to when John Daly won it in 1991 as the ninth alternate and 168th ranked player in the world. Statistically, this isn’t exactly fair: The median world ranking of major winners since 2000 is right about 10, regardless of which major we’re talking about.

But we’re not so interested in the times when a consistent major winner lifts the trophy: Tiger Woods has four P.