There is quite some disagreement among the models about not only which team is better but where they belong on the national scale.
Model | GT Points | UM Points | GT Win Prob |
S&P+ | 26.5 | 32.5 | 36% |
FEI | 29 | 24 | 64% |
FPI | -4.2 | - | 63% |
Vegas | -2 | - | 57% |
MELLS | 26 | 37 | 26% |
So GT is favored by every model but MELLS and S&P+, but none are incredibly confident in us winning the game.