Final Score: Virginia 48-40
Model Prediction: Virginia by 4.5, GT to cover: incorrect
Projected EPA (Offense and Defense) Margin of Victory: UVA by 16
GT Win Probability (Based on Success Rate, Yards Per Play, and EPA): 21%
There were no ghosts, and there was no curse, but Georgia Tech was beaten soundly by a Virginia football team that had its way against a porous Yellow Jacket defense. Various models gave GT between a 30 and 40 percent chance of winning this game, but even after the advantageous onside kick and some late game offensive success, GT would have expected to win this game only 20% of the time.