Model Prediction: Duke by 1, Duke to cover: correct (closed GT -4.5)
Projected EPA (Offense and Defense) Margin of Victory: GT by 2
GT Win Probability (Based on Success Rate, Yards Per Play, and EPA): 58%
On Saturday afternoon, Georgia Tech went into empty Wallace-Wade Stadium to play a team it was projected to beat by 4 points. It won by 4 points, but it felt so much more difficult than that. Why? Two reasons immediately come to mind.
As Ben covered on Friday, the Georgia Tech fanbase still largely sees Duke as a team it should beat 90% of the time, with most of those wins of the comfortable variety.